The causes of silly Mother Nature in Tears
Climate Change ?

Hurricane Harvey and Climate Change

Hurricane Harvey and Climate Change

Image source: Multip[le sources

Global warming: myth or a fact?

Global warming: myth or a fact?

Image source and Reference: Canadian Scientific Journal   Copy  

Melania Trump - The Hurricane Chic

Melania Trump - The Hurricane Chic

She brought joy and comfort to millions of people who lost the electricity during the hurricane.
Her black shades and her £500 Manolo Blahnik Stiletto high heels energized the spirit of the nation - U.S.A.!

Image source and Reference: Multiple sources  www.funnyordie.com

The End is Nigh: How the Religious Language of Global Warming is Failing

The End Is Near ----- Al Gore, Prophet of Doom

Did Al Gore Predict That Arctic Ice Caps Will Melt by 2014?

Answer: Mixture of Truth and Falsehood

WHAT'S TRUE
In the late 2000s, Al Gore made a series of high-profile statements suggesting the possibility that Arctic sea ice could be completely gone during the summer by around 2013 or 2014.

WHAT'S FALSE
Gore did not himself make these predictions but said (in some cases erroneously) that others had; Gore never referred to a year-long lack of ice for both poles, but instead largely referenced Arctic sea ice in the summer.

ORIGIN
In the years 2007, 2008, and 2009, Al Gore made statements about the possibility of a complete lack of summer sea ice in the Arctic by as early as 2013. While Gore attributed these predictions to scientists, they stemmed from a selective reading of aggressive estimates regarding future melting. The comments became a popular talking point for human-caused climate change deniers in 2014 and onward when the predictions, which in some cases were overstated, did not pan out.

Read the entire article at www.snopes.com   Copy

If you're going to make predictions, make them often!

While the disappearance of summer sea ice is difficult to predict, a 2013 review of different approaches (including Maslowski’s) summarized the range of various predictions for the first ice-free summer in the Arctic:

We have investigated three approaches to predicting 21st century summer Arctic sea ice loss as represented by trendsetters, stochasters, and modelers [three quantitative approaches used to make predictions]. At present, it is not possible to completely choose one approach over another as all approaches have strengths and weaknesses. […]

Time horizons for summer sea ice loss of these three approaches turns out to be roughly 2020, 2030, and 2040 respectively for trendsetters, stochasters, and modelers. […]

It is reasonable to conclude that Arctic sea ice loss is very likely to occur in the first rather than the second half of the 21st century, with a possibility of loss within a decade or two.

An engaging dissection of disaster

Friday, 15 September 2006
By Richard Black, Environment correspondent, BBC News website

As he reveals in the movie which has just been released in the UK, Gore has much more than that.
He has a brain which understands and holds figures and arguments. He has a team of advisors who provided the raw material for a hand-held tour through the intricacies of climate change science.

"An Inconvenient Truth" takes climate science out of the textbook and moulds it into something which we can see and almost taste.
"This is Mount Kilimanjaro 30 years ago," he says before an image of Africa's snow-capped landmark. Mount Kilimanjaro 30 years ago and this year (from movie An Inconvenient Truth) Within the decade there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro. As the shot changes to a nearly snow-free peak: "And this is it last year. Within the decade there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro." He plays the same then-and-now trick for a Patagonian glacier, before moving into the future. Melting of the West Antarctic icecap would raise sea levels globally by about 7m (22ft) - so what would that do to major coastal cities? Computer simulations show us this future for Shanghai, for Calcutta - and then for New York, the final heartstring tug coming as the World Trade Center memorial site disappears under the waves. This is more than sentiment, however. The subtext is clear: what we have done for victims of terrorism will be compromised by what we have not done on climate.
Read the entire article at news.bbc.co.uk   Copy

Climate scientists predicted a decade ago that the snows of Kilimanjaro could vanish by 2015.

Left: Snows of Kilimanjaro defy global warming predictions. (By Stan Freeman, March 19, 2011)
“Unfortunately, we made the prediction. I wish we hadn’t,” says Douglas R. Hardy, a UMass geoscientist who was among 11 co-authors of the paper in the journal Science that sparked the pessimistic Kilimanjaro forecast. “None of us had much history working on that mountain, and we didn’t understand a lot of the complicated processes on the peak like we do now.”
“The glaciers are still shrinking, and in the next decades they will almost certainly disappear, but it will probably be on the order of three or four decades, maybe five,” Hardy said recently. “But we don’t know for sure. It might be in only two.”
Read the entire article at www.masslive.com   Copy
Right: Mt. Kilimanjaro won the tourist attraction award 2016.
Mount Kilimanjaro, the highest mountain in Africa, and the highest free-standing mountain in the world, was declared Africa’s leading tourist attraction in 2016 during the World Travel Awards Africa and Indian Ocean Gala Ceremony in Zanzibar.
Read the entire article at the-africanway.com   Copy

James Hansen - Climate change is a matter of life or death.

Supreme climate scientist, James Hansen, poses next to a mock grave stone declaring "Climate change a matter of life or death" in 2009 in Coventry, England.

www.rollingstone.com (August 5, 2015) The Point of No Return: Climate Change Nightmares Are Already Here The worst predicted impacts of climate change are starting to happen — and much faster than climate scientists expected. ...On July 20th, James Hansen, the former NASA climatologist who brought climate change to the public's attention in the summer of 1988, issued a bombshell: He and a team of climate scientists had identified a newly important feedback mechanism off the coast of Antarctica that suggests mean sea levels could rise 10 times faster than previously predicted: 10 feet by 2065. The authors included this chilling warning: If emissions aren't cut, "We conclude that multi-meter sea-level rise would become practically unavoidable. Social disruption and economic consequences of such large sea-level rise could be devastating. It is not difficult to imagine that conflicts arising from forced migrations and economic collapse might make the planet ungovernable, threatening the fabric of civilization." Copy

insideclimatenews.org (Mar 22, 2016) Scientists Warn Drastic Climate Impacts Coming Much Sooner Than Expected Former NASA scientist James Hansen argues the new study requires much faster action reducing greenhouse gases. Copy

Washington Post (March 22, 2016) We had all better hope these scientists are wrong about the planet’s future The research invokes collapsing ice sheets, violent megastorms and even the hurling of boulders by giant waves in its quest to suggest that even 2 degrees Celsius of global warming above pre-industrial levels would be far too much. Hansen has called it the most important work he has ever done.
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Democracy Now! (August 30, 2017) Ex-NASA Scientist James Hansen: There is a Clear Link Between Climate Change & Stronger Hurricanes   Copy

www.independent.co.uk (14 July 2017) James Hansen: Earth could become ‘practically ungovernable’ if sea levels keep rising. The Earth could become “practically ungovernable” because of sea level rise, Nasa’s former head of climate research, Professor James Hansen, has warned.

James Hansen’s Failed Ultimatums: A Free Market, Anyone?

July 6, 2016
Predictions and ultimatums by learned, qualified scientists should be taken seriously. In the case of the father of the global warming scare, James Hansen, formerly a climate scientist with NASA/GISS, and now a full-time scientist/activist, the time is up on a remarkable ultimatum made ten years ago in the New York Review of Books.

“We have at most ten years—not ten years to decide upon action, but ten years to alter fundamentally the trajectory of global greenhouse emissions,” he wrote in his July 2006 review of Al Gore’s new book and movie, An Inconvenient Truth. “We have reached a critical tipping point,” he assured readers, adding “it will soon be impossible to avoid climate change with far-ranging undesirable consequences.”

Several years later, with the publication of his 2009 manifesto Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth about the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save the Planet, he shared “some bad news” (p. 139) with readers:
        The dangerous threshold of greenhouse gases is actually lower than what we told you a few years ago. Sorry about that mistake. It does not always work that way. Sometimes our estimates are off in the other direction, and the problem is not as bad as we thought. Not this time.

“The climate system is on the verge of tipping points,” Hansen stated (p. 171). “If the world does not make a dramatic shift in energy policies over the next few years, we may well pass the point of no return.”

Also in 2009, he told the press:
        We cannot afford to put off [climate policy] change any longer. We have to get on a new path within this new administration. We have only four years left for Obama to set an example to the rest of the world. America must take the lead.

Four years from 2009? If anything, the ten-year window Hansen foresaw in 2006 may have gotten shorter.
Fossil Fuels Still Dominant
So has there been a trajectory change with fossil fuels to avert disaster for Hansen? Hardly!

In 2005, the market share of natural gas, coal, and oil was 86 percent, according to the US Energy Information Administration. In 2015, a decade later, the market share of fossil fuels was an identical 86 percent, according to the BP Statistical Review.
EIA forecasts that fossil fuels will supply 79 percent of all energy in the year 2030, down from 86 percent predicted a decade ago but hardly suggesting a major trajectory change.
Hansen’s window for action has been missed. This has left him nonplussed with President Obama and the whole international climate-change crusade. Calling the Paris agreement “a fraud,” Hansen added:
        It’s just bullshit for them to say: ‘We’ll have a 2C warming target and then try to do a little better every five years.’ It’s just worthless words. There is no action, just promises. As long as fossil fuels appear to be the cheapest fuels out there, they will be continued to be burned.

This climate scientist has even led a federal lawsuit against the Obama Administration for
        … willfully ignored this impending harm. By their exercise of sovereign authority over our country’s atmosphere and fossil fuel resources, they permitted, encouraged, and otherwise enabled continued exploitation, production, and combustion of fossil fuels, and so, by and through their aggregate actions and omissions, Defendants deliberately allowed atmospheric CO2 concentrations to escalate to levels unprecedented in human history, resulting in a dangerous destabilizing climate system for our country and these Plaintiffs.

Conclusion
Recently, though, James Hansen seems to have forgotten about his closing-window ultimatums. There, as yet, is not a new point-of-no-return. Instead, he talks vaguely about the challenge ahead. “What makes [the climate change issue] all the more difficult is the fact that our solutions are going to require changing the energy system, and that requires decades,” Hansen said just last month. “So it’s a very difficult problem.”

Hansen as the scientific father and leader of climate alarmism should not get off so easily. His ultimatum was wrong, as was his science behind it. Which leaves his former high-pressure sales tactics for censure.

“Deadlines are designed to force you into a sale before you’ve had time to think,” the Better Business Bureau warns. Hansen’s tactics are somewhere between an over-eager salesman and a scammer, to which the BBB recommends:

        Pay attention to your emotions. This may sound touchy-feely, but high pressure sales are all about manipulation. If you start to feel overwhelmed, anxious, rushed or like you just can’t think clearly, come to your own rescue. Walk out of the room. Hang up. Tell the salesperson to leave.

Wrong-again James Hansen should lose the confidence of his audience. The sky has not fallen and is not about to fall.

(Note: The Institute for Energy Research (IER) is among the most prominent organizations questioning the existence and extent of anthropogenic climate change. IER has been described as a front group for the fossil fuel industry, since it has accepted financial donations from firms in that sector.)